Physical Risk
India Climate Intelligence
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Scoring Methodology — v5 IPCC-INFORM Aligned

How climate risk is calculated

Every score is built from the IPCC's internationally validated risk framework, operationalised using the INFORM Risk Index methodology from the EU Joint Research Centre. All design choices are documented, peer-reviewed, and fully reproducible.

Final Risk Score = (Hazard + Exposure + Vulnerability) ÷ 3 INFORM JRC 2017 · IPCC AR6 WG2 · Equal weights
Framework Overview

The Scoring Framework

This tool adopts the IPCC AR6 tripartite risk model. Risk arises at the intersection of three independent dimensions — what nature does, who is there, and how much it will hurt them.

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Hazard
Weight: 1/3 of final score
Physical intensity of climate events — flood, heat, cyclone, drought, extreme rainfall, and groundwater stress. Built from 40+ years of observed and reanalysis data. Each of 6 hazard scores uses the IPCC 75/25 framework: 75% present-day intensity + 25% climate trend trajectory.
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Exposure
Weight: 1/3 of final score
People and assets present in the hazard zone. Three indicators — population density (WorldPop), built-up surface (GHSL), and economic activity (VIIRS nighttime lights) — combined with equal weights per INFORM methodology.
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Vulnerability
Weight: 1/3 of final score
How badly will people be affected, and how fast will they recover? Four NFHS-5 indicators — child stunting, women's literacy, sanitation access, child marriage — combined with equal weights. District-level data, India's most recent national health survey.
Why equal weights across pillars? "The assignment of weights to indicators without empirical derivation represents an unjustified value judgement and should be avoided. Equal weights represent the neutral prior and are the appropriate default." — Cardona et al. (2012), Nature Climate Change. Equal weights are also used in the INFORM Risk Index (Marin-Ferrer et al., JRC 2017) and the UNDP Human Development Index.

Within hazard: the IPCC 75/25 architecture

IPCC AR6 Chapter 11 (Seneviratne et al., 2021) establishes that a complete characterisation of any physical hazard requires two temporally distinct components. Present-day hazard magnitude explains approximately three-quarters of climate loss variance; trend-driven change explains the remaining quarter. This 75/25 ratio is implemented consistently across all six hazard scores.

Present-day hazard (5 indicators, equally weighted at 15% each)
75%
Hazard trajectory / climate trend (1 indicator)
25%
Pincodes Covered
19,591
States & UTs
36
Hazard data period
1979 – 2024
Exposure vintage
2020 – 2022
Vulnerability vintage
NFHS-5 · 2019–21
Hazard Methodology

Six Physical Hazard Scores

Each hazard score is an independent composite index. Click any card to see the full methodology — sub-indicators, weights, data sources, and scientific rationale.

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Flood
Riverine + coastal inundation from 6 indicators spanning GloFAS, JRC GSW, MERIT Hydro TWI, and IMD Rx5Day.
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Heat
Extreme heat exposure across 6 ERA5-Land indicators — hot days frequency, night heat, Wet Bulb Globe Temperature, heat waves, and trend.
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Cyclone
Wind hazard from 45 years of IBTrACS North Indian Ocean track data. Six dimensions: frequency, peak intensity, proximity, RI, residence, and trend.
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Drought
Four IPCC-recognised drought types — meteorological, agricultural, hydrological, and trend — from CHIRPS 1981–2026 and ERA5-Land.
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Extreme Rainfall
Six ETCCDI standard indices — Rx1Day, Rx5Day, SDII, R95p, CWD, and trend — from 45 years of IMD gridded daily rainfall data.
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Groundwater Stress
Aquifer depletion risk from CGWB seasonal monitoring data — depth, fluctuation, extraction ratio, and depletion trend. Unique non-surface layer.
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Flood Hazard Score
V5 · IPCC AR6 + INFORM Aligned · Coastal Surge Corrected · 19,591 pincodes
Score = (0.15 × GloFAS) + (0.15 × Historical_Occurrence) + (0.15 × TWI) + (0.15 × Water_Proximity) + (0.15 × Rx5Day) + (0.25 × JRC_Trend)
+ Coastal_Surge_Correction (NDMA-designated coastal districts)
IndicatorWeightData SourceWhat it measures
GloFAS Flood Hazard Area15%EU JRC · ECMWF% of pincode in 100-year flood zone — modelled primary exposure
Historical Flood Occurrence15%JRC Global Surface Water 1984–202138-year satellite-observed flood frequency — empirical ground truth
Terrain Wetness Index (TWI)15%MERIT Hydro DEMHydrological drainage capacity — controls water accumulation speed
Water Proximity (<2km)15%JRC GSW Seasonality% area within 2km of perennial water body — proximity to flood source
Extreme Rainfall (Rx5Day)15%IMD Gridded RainfallMax 5-day accumulated rainfall — atmospheric flood trigger
JRC Surface Water Trend25%JRC Global Surface Water change_absChange in permanent water extent 1984–2021 — forward trajectory
The 75/25 split between current exposure (GloFAS + GSW + TWI + proximity + Rx5Day) and trajectory (JRC trend) directly operationalises IPCC AR6 Chapter 11 (Seneviratne et al., 2021), which establishes that present-day hazard explains ~75% of flood loss variance. V5 is statistically nearly identical to its predecessor V3 (max score difference 0.005 across all pincodes), but adds NDMA coastal surge correction and formalises dual IPCC + INFORM justification.
GloFAS (JRC · ECMWF)JRC Global Surface WaterMERIT Hydro TWIIMD Gridded RainfallNDMA Coastal Districts
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Heat Hazard Score
Scheme A · IPCC 75/25 Weighted · ERA5-Land 1990–2024 · 19,591 pincodes
Score = (0.15 × Hot_Days) + (0.15 × Tropical_Nights) + (0.15 × WBGT_Threshold_Days) + (0.15 × Heatwave_Duration) + (0.15 × Extreme_Heat_Index) + (0.25 × Warming_Trend)
IndicatorWeightMetricPhysical dimension
Hot Days Frequency (Tmax > 35°C)15%Days/year averageThreshold exceedance — direct heat stress exposure
Tropical Nights (Tmin > 25°C)15%Nights/year averageNocturnal heat — prevents physiological recovery
WBGT Threshold Days15%Days WBGT > 32°C/yearWet Bulb Globe Temperature — occupational & health risk threshold
Heatwave Duration Index15%Days in heatwave eventsSustained extreme heat — mortality and crop loss driver
Extreme Heat Index Days15%Days Feels Like > 40°CApparent temperature — combined T + humidity risk
Warming Trend (1990–2024)25%°C/decade Mann-KendallRate of temperature increase — forward trajectory signal
Scheme A and Scheme B achieve Pearson r = 0.9674 and 99.9% within-1-band agreement (19,576/19,591 pincodes), confirming the 75/25 equal-weight structure is structurally robust. All indicators are derived from ERA5-Land reanalysis at ~9km resolution with full-coverage cell-averaging (eliminating the single-point centroid bias affecting 66% of pincodes in earlier versions).
ERA5-Land (ECMWF)Copernicus CDS2m Temperature (t2m)2m Dewpoint (d2m)
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Cyclone Hazard Score
Version A · Trend-Anchored · IBTrACS 1980–2024 · North Indian Ocean · 19,591 pincodes
Score = (0.15 × Track_Density) + (0.15 × Max_Wind_Exposure) + (0.15 × Proximity_Intensity) + (0.15 × Rapid_Intensification) + (0.15 × Storm_Residence_Time) + (0.25 × Trend_Factor)
IndicatorWeightSearch radiusPhysical dimension
Track Density (TD)15%300 kmAnnualised storm frequency — foundational frequency exposure metric used in all major cat models (RMS, AIR)
Max Wind Exposure (MW)15%200 kmPeak wind speed × Saffir-Simpson multiplier — primary structural damage driver
Proximity Intensity (PI)15%150 kmWind decay with distance (Emanuel 2005 power function) — cumulative spatial exposure
Rapid Intensification (RI)15%200 km≥35 kt intensification in 24h — tail risk modifier, increasing in Indian Ocean
Storm Residence Time (RT)15%100 kmTotal hours within 100km — slow-moving storm damage amplifier
Trend Factor (TF)25%500 kmChange in storm frequency + SST warming trend — forward climate signal
Version A assigns the Trend Factor a fixed, privileged 25% position — the only forward-looking sub-indicator — while the five historical sub-indicators share the remaining 75% equally. Version A vs Version B achieves Spearman ρ = 0.978, confirming structural robustness. Version A is systematically slightly higher than Version B (mean +3.19 points) because the positive Indian Ocean SST warming trend elevates all coastal pincodes uniformly.
IBTrACS v04r01 (NOAA)North Indian Ocean 1980–2024458 storm tracks · 17,801 track points
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Drought Hazard Score
Version A · IPCC 75/25 Framework · CHIRPS 1981–2026 + ERA5-Land · 19,591 pincodes
Score = (0.15 × SPI_Deficit) + (0.15 × SPEI_Agricultural) + (0.15 × Consecutive_Dry_Days) + (0.15 × Aridity_Index) + (0.15 × Soil_Moisture_Stress) + (0.25 × Drought_Trend)
IPCC Drought TypeWeightIndicatorData Source
Meteorological15%Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI)CHIRPS v2.0 1981–2026
Agricultural15%SPEI — evapotranspiration correctedCHIRPS + ERA5-Land
Meteorological15%Consecutive Dry Days (CDD)CHIRPS daily 1981–2026
Hydrological15%FAO Aridity IndexERA5-Land PET 1990–2024
Agricultural15%Soil Moisture Stress DaysERA5-Land Volumetric Soil Water
Trend (all types)25%Mann-Kendall precipitation deficit trendCHIRPS 1981–2026
Version A and Version B achieve Pearson r = 0.972 and Spearman ρ = 0.967 — confirming structural robustness to weighting scheme choice. State rankings validated against 8 NDMA-classified drought-prone states with mean score separation of 18.4 points. Benchmarked against SPI, SPEI, CDI, and FAO Aridity Index in peer-reviewed literature.
CHIRPS v2.0 (1981–2026)ERA5-Land (1990–2024)NDMA Drought Classification
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Extreme Rainfall Hazard Score
Version A · IPCC/INFORM Aligned · ETCCDI Standards · IMD 1979–2023 · 19,591 pincodes
Score = (0.15 × Rx1Day) + (0.15 × Rx5Day) + (0.15 × SDII) + (0.15 × R95p) + (0.15 × CWD) + (0.25 × Trend)
ETCCDI IndexWeightDefinitionPhysical dimension
Rx1Day15%Max 1-day precipitationPeak instantaneous intensity — flash flood trigger
Rx5Day15%Max 5-day accumulated rainfallBasin-scale accumulation — riverine flood trigger
SDII15%Simple Daily Intensity IndexChronic intensity on wet days — infrastructure stress indicator
R95p15%Annual total rainfall above 95th percentileVery wet days frequency — tail risk of extreme events
CWD15%Consecutive Wet DaysSustained rainfall duration — waterlogging and runoff saturation
Trend (Mann-Kendall)25%Change in extreme precipitation 1979–2023Climate trajectory — increasing monsoon intensity signal
All six indicators are drawn from the ETCCDI standard suite — the globally accepted framework for quantifying extreme precipitation endorsed by WMO, IPCC, and CCDI. Version A and Version B achieve Spearman ρ = 0.9919, the highest cross-version correlation of all six hazard scores, confirming that the 75/25 equal-weight structure is extremely robust for rainfall hazard assessment.
IMD 0.25° Gridded Daily Rainfall1979–2023 · 45 yearsETCCDI Standard Suite
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Groundwater Stress Index (GSI)
Scheme A · IPCC 75/25 · CGWB Seasonal Monitoring 2010–2023 · 19,591 pincodes
Score = (0.25 × Avg_Jan_Depth_adj) + (0.25 × Seasonal_Fluctuation) + (0.25 × Extraction_Ratio) + (0.25 × Depletion_Trend)
Sub-IndicatorWeightData SourceQuestion answered
Avg January Depth (aquifer-adjusted)25%CGWB January PDFHow depleted is the aquifer right now?
Seasonal Fluctuation (m)25%CGWB Jan − Post-monsoonHow fragile and sensitive is the aquifer? (Jan depth − post-monsoon depth)
Extraction Ratio (%)25%CGWB Annual Report 2022Is extraction exceeding recharge? Fixes the Punjab/Haryana collapse blind spot in fluctuation data
Depletion Trend25%CGWB multi-year monitoringIs the situation getting worse over time? Forward trajectory
The GSI captures a risk dimension invisible to all other hazard layers — underground aquifer depletion driven by extraction vs recharge imbalance. Punjab extracts 165.99% of annual recharge (CGWB 2022) yet has a low drought score (adequate monsoon rainfall) and moderate flood score. Only the GSI captures this crisis. The Extraction Ratio was added as the 4th sub-indicator specifically to fix the systematic underscoring of Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan — where the water table has dropped below the monsoon recharge threshold, causing seasonal fluctuation to falsely collapse to near zero (documented by Rodell et al., 2009, Nature).
CGWB Seasonal Monitoring 2010–2023CGWB Annual Report 2022Ministry of Jal Shakti
Exposure Methodology

Exposure Score

Who and what is in the hazard zone? Exposure is computed from three independently sourced geospatial indicators at the pincode level, combined with equal weights per the INFORM methodology.

Exposure Score = (1/3 × Population_Density) + (1/3 × Built_up_Surface_Ratio) + (1/3 × Nighttime_Light_Radiance)
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Population Density
WorldPop 2022 · 100m resolution
Constrained top-down population grid from the University of Southampton. Validated against Census 2011 (Stevens et al., 2015, PLOS ONE). Captures human presence — the primary exposure dimension.
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Built-up Surface
GHSL GHS-BUILT-S R2023A · 90m resolution
Global Human Settlement Layer from EU Joint Research Centre. Cited in IPCC AR6 WG2 Chapter 8. Captures infrastructure and physical asset exposure — essential because dense slums and dense CBDs have similar population density but vastly different asset values.
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Nighttime Lights
NASA/NOAA VIIRS VNL v2.2 · 2022
Nighttime light radiance as a proxy for economic activity and asset value. Provides orthogonal information to population density — captures economic exposure, critical for financial risk applications. VIIRS provides calibrated, annually composited data at 500m resolution.
Why three indicators? Comprehensiveness (single indicator cannot capture full dimensionality), independence (three distinct dimensions — human presence, physical infrastructure, economic activity), parsimony (adding more risks double-counting), and data quality (all three are globally validated, peer-reviewed, freely available). INFORM Global Index uses a similar 3–5 indicator approach per sub-component.
Vulnerability Methodology

Vulnerability Score

How badly will people be affected, and how fast will they recover? Vulnerability is measured using four sub-indicators from NFHS-5 (2019–21), India's most recent nationally representative household survey covering 638 districts.

Vulnerability Score = (1/4 × Stunting_rate) + (1/4 × (100 − Literacy_rate)) + (1/4 × (100 − Sanitation_access)) + (1/4 × Child_marriage_rate)
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Child Stunting Rate
NFHS-5 · Children under 5 stunted (%)
Stunting is the most direct measure of chronic nutritional deprivation. Communities with high stunting rates are more fragile to climate shocks — food insecurity from drought or flood pushes already-malnourished children into acute crisis. Used by WHO, UNICEF, and World Bank as a primary climate vulnerability indicator for South Asia. Stunted children have compromised immune function, making them severely more susceptible to the disease outbreaks that follow climate events.
↑ higher = more vulnerable
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Women's Literacy Rate
NFHS-5 · Women who are literate (%)
Literacy is the foundational measure of adaptive capacity — literate communities access early warning systems faster, navigate government relief better, and recover more quickly. NFHS-5 uses women age 6+ as denominator, fixing the Census 2011 denominator error. IPCC AR6 WG2 Chapter 8 identifies women's literacy as a primary vulnerability indicator for South Asia. Higher literacy means faster disaster response, better information access, and stronger institutional engagement.
↓ higher = less vulnerable
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Sanitation Access
NFHS-5 · Improved sanitation facility (%)
Sanitation directly amplifies flood and cyclone damage through waterborne disease outbreaks. Areas without improved sanitation suffer post-flood cholera, typhoid, and diarrhoea epidemics that multiply casualty counts and extend recovery timelines by weeks. Poor sanitation is a direct infrastructure vulnerability used by INFORM, NDMA, and WHO climate risk assessments. It is an independently measurable, post-disaster amplifier of harm — not a proxy for general poverty.
↓ higher = less vulnerable
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Child Marriage Rate
NFHS-5 · Women married before 18 (%)
Child marriage is a composite social development indicator — districts with high child marriage have lower girls' education, higher maternal mortality, and weaker community institutions. These are precisely the factors that determine how quickly a community rebounds from a climate event. IPCC AR6 WG2 Chapter 8 explicitly cites early marriage as a vulnerability amplifier in South Asia. It serves as a robust, independently validated signal of structural social fragility, not simply as a gender equity metric.
↑ higher = more vulnerable
Why equal weights within vulnerability? All four indicators have equal conceptual standing as vulnerability dimensions — nutritional fragility, adaptive capacity, infrastructure deficit, and social fragility. There is no empirical basis to prefer one over another at national scale. Cardona et al. (2012, Nature Climate Change) and INFORM GRI (JRC 2017) both explicitly establish equal weighting as the correct default in this situation. The four indicators are drawn from the same data source (NFHS-5) and measured at the same spatial scale (district), making equal weights further defensible.
Data Sources

All Data Sources

No proprietary or non-reproducible data is used. Every source is freely available, internationally standardised, and validated in the peer-reviewed literature.

ERA5-Land Reanalysis — ECMWF ↗
Heat, drought, and rainfall sub-indicators. 1990–2024. Copernicus Climate Data Store. ~9km resolution.
GloFAS Flood Hazard Map — JRC · ECMWF ↗
Modelled 100-year flood zone area per pincode. Global river routing model. Ward et al. (2013), GRL.
JRC Global Surface Water ↗
38-year Landsat satellite record (1984–2021). 30m resolution. Pekel et al. (2016), Nature.
MERIT Hydro DEM ↗
Hydrologically conditioned DEM for TWI computation. Yamazaki et al. (2019), Water Resources Research.
IBTrACS v04r01 — NOAA NCEI ↗
Global tropical cyclone best-track archive. North Indian Ocean, 1980–2024. 458 storms, 17,801 track points.
NOAA ERSSTv5 — Sea Surface Temperature ↗
Extended Reconstructed SST. Global monthly, 1854–2026. 2°×2° grid. Cyclone SST trend factor.
CHIRPS v2.0 — Climate Hazards Group ↗
Climate Hazards InfraRed Precipitation with Stations. 1981–2026. 0.05° resolution. Drought indicators.
CGWB Groundwater Monitoring — Jal Shakti ↗
Central Ground Water Board seasonal well data. 2010–2023. Jan + post-monsoon levels + extraction ratios.
NFHS-5 (2019–21) — MoHFW India ↗
National Family Health Survey. Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Govt. of India. 638 districts.
WorldPop 2022 — University of Southampton ↗
Constrained top-down population grid. 100m resolution. Exposure: population density indicator.
Google Open Buildings 2.5D — Google Research ↗
Building density via deep learning on Sentinel-2. 100m resolution. 1.8 billion detections across South Asia.
VIIRS VNL v2.2 (2022) — NASA / NOAA ↗
Nighttime light radiance. 500m resolution. Economic activity proxy. Exposure: asset value dimension.
IMD 0.25° Gridded Rainfall ↗
India Meteorological Department daily gridded rainfall. 1979–2023. 45 years. ETCCDI rainfall hazard indices.
Open-Meteo Archive API ↗
Live temperature & precipitation trend charts in the UI. ERA5-backed open-source weather API. Free, no authentication required.
Google News RSS ↗
Climate and weather news feed for each pincode location. Real-time results, last 5 years. Powers the in-tool news panel.
Groq API — Llama 3.3 70B ↗
AI-generated risk narrative summaries in the score drawer. Llama 3.3 70B Versatile model served via Groq inference. Meta Llama 3.3 licence applies.
OpenStreetMap ↗
Base map tiles for the pincode boundary map. © OpenStreetMap contributors, ODbL licence.
CARTO Basemaps ↗
Light basemap tiles (carto.com/basemaps). Rendered on top of OpenStreetMap data for the interactive map.
Leaflet.js ↗
Open-source JavaScript library for interactive maps. Powers the pincode boundary and choropleth map rendering.
Scientific framework references: IPCC AR6 WG1 Chapter 11 (Seneviratne et al., 2021) — hazard architecture and 75/25 framework. INFORM Risk Index (Marin-Ferrer et al., JRC 2017) — equal-weight methodology. OECD Handbook on Composite Indicators (2008) — equal weight justification. Cardona et al. (2012), Nature Climate Change — weight neutrality principle. IPCC AR6 WG2 Chapter 8 — South Asia vulnerability indicators.
Risk Classification

Risk Bands & Classification Scale

All composite scores (hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and final risk) are expressed on a 0–100 scale and classified into five bands using equal-interval thresholds.

Very Low
0 – 20
Low
20 – 40
Medium
40 – 60
High
60 – 80
Very High
80 – 100
Score TypeInputsNormalisationAggregation
Each Hazard Score (×6)5 present-day indicators + 1 trend indicatorMin-max per indicator across all 19,591 pincodes75/25 weighted sum (IPCC AR6)
Composite Hazard6 hazard scores (flood, heat, cyclone, drought, rainfall, GSI)Already 0–100Equal-weight mean (1/6 each)
Exposure ScorePopulation density, built-up surface, nighttime lightsMin-max per indicatorEqual-weight mean (1/3 each)
Vulnerability Score4 NFHS-5 district indicatorsMin-max, direction-correctedEqual-weight mean (1/4 each)
Final Risk ScoreComposite Hazard + Exposure + VulnerabilityAlready 0–100Equal-weight mean (1/3 each)
Important limitation: Scores represent relative physical exposure and structural risk propensity — the long-run probability of being affected. This tool measures structural physical climate risk, not real-time or short-term weather. It should not be used as the sole basis for financial, insurance, or engineering decisions. Weather data sourced from ERA5 reanalysis (ECMWF). Pincode boundary data from India Post / Survey of India 2022. This approach is identical to the methodology used by Munich Re NatCatSERVICE, Swiss Re sigma, and World Bank Country Climate Development Reports.
See how your location scores

Every methodology described here is live — search any India pincode and see it applied in real time.

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Acknowledgements

Data Acknowledgements

This tool is built entirely on open, publicly funded datasets. Each data provider has specified how their data should be credited — those required citations are listed here in full.

Copernicus Climate Change Service / ERA5-Land
Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI: 10.24381/cds.e2161bac. Accessed May 2026. Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information [1990–2024]. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains.
JRC Global Surface Water (Pekel et al.)
Pekel, J.-F., Cottam, A., Gorelick, N. & Belward, A.S. (2016). High-resolution mapping of global surface water and its long-term changes. Nature, 540, 418–422. DOI: 10.1038/nature20584. Data provided by the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC) under the Copernicus Programme. Source: EC JRC / Google.
GloFAS — Global Flood Awareness System
Alfieri, L., Salamon, P., Bianchi, A., Neal, J., Bates, P. & Feyen, L. (2014). Advances in pan-European flood hazard mapping. Hydrological Processes, 28(13), 4067–4077. GloFAS is a joint initiative of the European Commission and ECMWF. Data accessed via the Copernicus Emergency Management Service. © European Union, 2024.
MERIT Hydro
Yamazaki, D., Ikeshima, D., Sosa, J., Bates, P.D., Allen, G.H. & Pavelsky, T.M. (2019). MERIT Hydro: A high‐resolution global hydrography map based on latest topography dataset. Water Resources Research, 55(6), 5053–5073. DOI: 10.1029/2019WR024873.
IBTrACS — International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship
Knapp, K.R., Kruk, M.C., Levinson, D.H., Diamond, H.J. & Neumann, C.J. (2010). The International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91(3), 363–376. DOI: 10.1175/2009BAMS2755.1. Knapp, K.R. et al. (2018): Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(9), 1899–1911. Data provided by NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI).
NOAA ERSSTv5 — Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature
Huang, B., Thorne, P.W., Banzon, V.F., Boyer, T., Chepurin, G., Lawrimore, J.H., Menne, M.J., Smith, T.M., Vose, R.S. & Zhang, H.-M. (2017). NOAA Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST), Version 5. Journal of Climate, 30(20), 8179–8205. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0836.1. Data provided by NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory (PSL), from https://psl.noaa.gov.
CHIRPS — Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Stations
Funk, C., Peterson, P., Landsfeld, M., Pedreros, D., Verdin, J., Shukla, S., Husak, G., Rowland, J., Harrison, L., Hoell, A. & Michaelsen, J. (2015). The climate hazards infrared precipitation with stations — a new environmental record for monitoring extremes. Scientific Data, 2, 150066. DOI: 10.1038/sdata.2015.66. Data provided by the Climate Hazards Center, UC Santa Barbara.
CGWB — Central Ground Water Board, India
Central Ground Water Board (CGWB), Ministry of Jal Shakti, Government of India. Dynamic Ground Water Resources of India (2022). Seasonal groundwater level monitoring data, 2010–2023. © Ministry of Jal Shakti, Government of India. Use subject to the National Data Sharing and Accessibility Policy (NDSAP).
NFHS-5 — National Family Health Survey
International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS) and ICF (2021). National Family Health Survey (NFHS-5), India, 2019–21: India Report. Mumbai: IIPS. Data provided by the Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Government of India. Users are requested to acknowledge the survey, the Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, and ICF when publishing any analysis using NFHS-5 data.
WorldPop — University of Southampton
WorldPop (www.worldpop.org — School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton; Department of Geography and Geosciences, University of Louisville; Departement de Geographie, Universite de Namur) and Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University (2018). Global High Resolution Population Denominators Project — Funded by The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1134076). DOI: 10.5258/SOTON/WP00674. Stevens, F.R., Gaughan, A.E., Linard, C. & Tatem, A.J. (2015). Disaggregating Census Data for Population Mapping Using Random Forests with Remotely-Sensed and Ancillary Data. PLOS ONE, 10(2), e0107042. Tatem, A.J. (2017). WorldPop, open data for spatial demography. Scientific Data, 4, 170004. DOI: 10.1038/sdata.2017.4.
Google Open Buildings 2.5D — Google Research
Sirko, W. et al. (2021). Continental-Scale Building Detection from High Resolution Satellite Imagery. arXiv:2107.12283. Dataset: Google Research Open Buildings 2.5D Temporal v1, GEE Asset GOOGLE/Research/open-buildings-temporal/v1, 2022 annual composite. Available under CC BY 4.0.
VIIRS Nighttime Lights — NASA / NOAA
Elvidge, C.D., Zhizhin, M., Ghosh, T., Hsu, F.-C. & Taneja, J. (2021). Annual Time Series of Global VIIRS Nighttime Lights Derived from Monthly Averages: 2012 to 2019. Remote Sensing, 13(13), 2638. DOI: 10.3390/rs13132638. Data provided by the Earth Observation Group, Payne Institute for Public Policy, Colorado School of Mines. Dataset: VNL_v22_npp-j01_2022_global_vcmslcfg — Annual Composite, Average Masked.
IMD Gridded Rainfall — India Meteorological Department
Pai, D.S., Sridhar, L., Rajeevan, M., Sreejith, O.P., Satbut, N.S. & Mukhopadhyay, B. (2014). Development of a new high spatial resolution (0.25° × 0.25°) long period (1901–2010) daily gridded rainfall data set over India. Mausam, 65(1), 1–18. Data provided by the India Meteorological Department, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Government of India.
Open-Meteo — Open-Source Weather API
Zippenfenig, P. (2023). Open-Meteo.com Weather API. Zenodo. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7970649. Open-Meteo is an open-source project available under the CC BY 4.0 licence. Historical weather data served via the Open-Meteo Archive API is sourced from ERA5 reanalysis (ECMWF / Copernicus). Used in this tool for live pincode-level temperature and precipitation trend charts.
Google News — News Feed
Climate and weather news articles are retrieved via the Google News RSS feed. Google News is a product of Google LLC. News content is sourced from third-party publishers and is subject to each publisher's individual terms. This tool links to original articles and does not reproduce or store news content. Use of Google News RSS is subject to Google's Terms of Service.
Groq API — Meta Llama 3.3 70B Versatile
AI-generated risk narrative summaries in the score drawer are produced using the Llama 3.3 70B Versatile model served via the Groq inference API. Groq, Inc. (groq.com). Meta Llama 3.3 is developed by Meta Platforms, Inc. and is made available under the Meta Llama 3 Community Licence. AI-generated summaries are provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as definitive risk assessments.
Google Earth Engine — Cloud Geospatial Processing Platform
Gorelick, N., Hancher, M., Dixon, M., Ilyushchenko, S., Thau, D. & Moore, R. (2017). Google Earth Engine: Planetary-scale geospatial analysis for everyone. Remote Sensing of Environment, 202, 18–27. DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2017.06.031. Google Earth Engine was used for pre-computation of hazard and exposure indicators — including extraction of ERA5, JRC Global Surface Water, GloFAS, CHIRPS, MERIT Hydro TWI, Google Open Buildings, WorldPop, and VIIRS data at pincode level. GEE is a product of Google LLC.
QGIS — Open Source Geographic Information System
QGIS Development Team (2024). QGIS Geographic Information System. Open Source Geospatial Foundation Project. https://qgis.org. QGIS was used for pincode boundary processing, spatial validation of the India Post boundary dataset, and cartographic quality checks. QGIS is free software released under the GNU General Public Licence.
OpenStreetMap
© OpenStreetMap contributors. Map data licensed under the Open Database Licence (ODbL). Cartography © OpenStreetMap contributors, licensed under CC BY-SA. OpenStreetMap is a free, editable map of the whole world. When using OpenStreetMap data or tiles, users must credit "© OpenStreetMap contributors" and provide a link to openstreetmap.org/copyright.
CARTO Basemaps
Map tiles provided by CARTO. © CARTO. CARTO basemap tiles are used under CARTO's tile usage terms. Tiles are rendered using OpenStreetMap data. Attribution: "Map tiles by CARTO, under CC BY 3.0. Data by OpenStreetMap, under ODbL."
Leaflet.js
Agafonkin, V. (2010–2024). Leaflet — an open-source JavaScript library for mobile-friendly interactive maps. https://leafletjs.com. Leaflet is released under the BSD 2-Clause Licence. Used in this tool for rendering pincode boundary polygons, choropleth overlays, and the interactive map panel.
Important Notice

Disclaimer

Please read before using or citing scores from this tool.

⚠ Terms of Use & Limitations of Liability

01
For informational and research purposes only. Scores produced by this tool are intended for portfolio screening, academic research, policy analysis, and general awareness. They are not intended to serve as the sole basis for financial decisions, insurance underwriting, engineering design, legal determinations, or any life-safety application.
02
Structural risk, not real-time forecasting. This tool measures long-run structural physical climate risk — the historical and climatological propensity of a location to experience climate hazards over a multi-decade horizon. It is not a weather forecast, a seasonal outlook, or a real-time hazard warning system. A pincode scoring Very High on any hazard may not experience an event this year; a Low-scoring pincode is not immune.
03
Scores are relative, not absolute. All scores are normalised on a 0–100 scale relative to the national distribution of Indian pincodes. A score of 75 means higher exposure than approximately 75% of Indian pincodes — it does not represent a 75% probability of any event occurring. Scores are not directly comparable with indices from other countries or platforms.
04
Data vintage and coverage limitations apply. Hazard scores are derived from historical reanalysis and observational datasets (1979–2024). Vulnerability scores are from NFHS-5 (2019–21) and are assigned at district level — all pincodes within a district share the same vulnerability score.
05
Six hazards only — not exhaustive. The composite hazard score covers flood, heat, cyclone, drought, extreme rainfall, and groundwater stress. It does not include landslide, lightning, urban heat island amplification, coastal erosion, air quality, or seismic risk. The absence of a hazard from this tool does not imply its absence from a location.
06
Not a substitute for professional assessment. For high-stakes applications — including but not limited to infrastructure siting, insurance product design, credit risk modelling, or government planning — these scores should be treated as a first-screen input only, supplemented by site-specific surveys, local authority datasets, domain expert review, and actuarial analysis.
07
Weather data source. Atmospheric hazard data is sourced from the ERA5-Land reanalysis (ECMWF / Copernicus). Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Pincode boundary data is sourced from India Post / Survey of India 2022.
08
No warranty. Scores are provided as-is, without warranty of any kind, express or implied. The creators of this tool make no representations about the accuracy, completeness, or fitness for any particular purpose of the scores. All methodology is published openly so that users can make their own informed assessment of appropriate use.